July 20, 2026 – December 6, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 93% | 93¢ | 7¢ |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2% | 2¢ | 98¢ |
| George Russell | 2% | 2¢ | 98¢ |
| Charles Leclerc | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Lando Norris | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| Max Verstappen | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
Each selection represents a listed driver. The selection corresponding to the driver who finishes first in the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers’ standings will resolve to "Yes", while all other selections will resolve to "No". The market will settle once the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 Formula 1 season have been confirmed. If two or more drivers are tied for first place in the standings, resolution will follow Formula 1’s official tiebreaking procedure for determining the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers’ Champion. A listed driver’s selection will resolve to "No" as soon as that driver can no longer win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship under Formula 1 rules, including when the driver is mathematically eliminated. If the Formula 1 season is postponed, permanently canceled, or remains incomplete as of February 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, all listed drivers will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information published by Formula 1.
