July 19, 2026 – October 31, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 30% | 30¢ | 70¢ |
| Harry Kane | 47% | 47¢ | 53¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 5% | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 2% | 2¢ | 98¢ |
| Michael Olise | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
Each selection corresponds to a specific player. The selection for the player officially awarded the 2026 Ballon d'Or will resolve to "Yes", while all other player selections will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner has not been officially declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, all selections will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published by France Football.
