
July 20, 2026 – October 6, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Renan Santos | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Fernando Haddad | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Camilo Santana | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Romeu Zema | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
This market resolves based on the outcome of Brazil's presidential election scheduled for October 4, 2026. The selection corresponding to the candidate who is elected President of Brazil will resolve to "Yes", while all other candidate selections will resolve to "No". This market includes both the initial election and any required second-round runoff. If the winner has not been determined by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, all listed candidate selections will resolve to "No". Resolution will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If conflicting or unclear information exists, the official results published by the Brazilian government's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) will be used to resolve the market.