
July 7, 2026 – July 14, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Morocco | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Norway | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Colombia | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Belgium | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| France | 100% | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| Argentina | 100% | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| Switzerland | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| Spain | 100% | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| England | 100% | 100¢ | 0¢ |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the selected national team qualifies for and participates in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. Resolution to "No": If the listed team is mathematically eliminated from the tournament prior to the semifinals, the market will immediately resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, or if the semifinal matchups are not officially confirmed by July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official FIFA communications. In the absence of a direct announcement, a consensus from credible sports reporting may be used.