
June 30, 2026 – June 30, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $50,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
| $50,001 – $60,000 | 42.9% | 42.9¢ | 57.1¢ |
| $60,001 – $70,000 | 73.3% | 73.3¢ | 26.7¢ |
| Above $70,000 | 9.1% | 9.1¢ | 90.9¢ |
This market resolves to the closing price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) at 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026. The price is determined by the official closing price on major cryptocurrency exchanges (Coinbase, Kraken, or Binance) at the specified time. If these exchanges report different prices, the median of the three will be used. The resolution source is the official exchange data as reported by CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap at the exact moment of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026. In the event of exchange outages or data unavailability, a consensus of credible financial reporting (Bloomberg, Reuters, or major financial news outlets) covering Bitcoin's price at that moment will be used as a fallback.