Politics Markets

Live Politics prediction markets on Rain Trade, ranked by trading volume.

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep

64.5%

D Senate, R House

2.0%

$33k Vol.politics$15k Liq.Ends Nov 4
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party

93.5%

Republican Party

6.5%

$225k Vol.politics$7.7k Liq.Ends Nov 4
Who Will Win the 2026 Vancouver Mayoral Election?
Ken Sim

30.0%

William Azaroff

3%

$67k Vol.politics$16k Liq.Ends Oct 17
Who will be Israel's next Prime Minister?
Gadi Eizenkot

53%

Benjamin Netanyahu

32.0%

$56k Vol.politics$14k Liq.Ends Oct 28
Will the CLARITY act be signed into law in 2026?
5%chance
$45k Vol.crypto$7.7k Liq.Ends Jan 1
US ends Iran naval blockade by...?
December 31

62%

October 31

33.5%

$41k Vol.politics$4.7k Liq.Ends Jan 1
Will the U.S. and Iran finalize a nuclear agreement by...?
December 31

14.0%

September 30

2.0%

$33k Vol.politics$2.9k Liq.Ends Jan 1
Who will be elected President of Brazil in 2026?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

41.5%

Flávio Bolsonaro

56.5%

$31k Vol.politics$2.5k Liq.Ends Oct 4
Toronto Mayoral Election 2026: Winner
Olivia Chow

86.5%

Brad Bradford

11.5%

$28k Vol.politics$2.3k Liq.Ends Oct 26
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?
11%chance
$26k Vol.entertainment$600 Liq.Ends Jan 1
Will the U.S. enter a recession by the end of 2026?
11%chance
$20k Vol.finance$600 Liq.Ends Jan 1
Who will win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Yulia Navalnaya

6.5%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

5.0%

$19k Vol.politics$4.6k Liq.Ends Oct 10
Trump to meet CZ in 2026?
12%chance
$14k Vol.crypto$1.1k Liq.Ends Jan 1
Will the U.S. Sign a New Trade Deal with Canada Before 2027?
15%chance
$13k Vol.politics$2.5k Liq.Ends Jan 1
Will a new pandemic be declared in 2026?
5%chance
$11k Vol.science$1.1k Liq.Ends Jan 1
Will the U.S. officially confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2026?
5%chance
$11k Vol.science$600 Liq.Ends Jan 1
Will the US pause qualifying military actions against Iran for 14 consecutive days?
August 31

51%

August 14

34%

$202 Vol.politics$0 Liq.Ends Sep 1
Will Israel conduct a military strike against Iran by...?
August 31

38%

July 31

0%

$200 Vol.politics$0 Liq.Ends Sep 1

Any Possible Outcome

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