August 3, 2026 – October 28, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 52.5% | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 35.5% | 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as the next Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an early election is held instead, this market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in following that election. To qualify for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no qualifying Prime Minister has been sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, every listed Prime Minister will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Israel. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
